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#11
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| Of course, that's true, but the operator takes risks in everything he does. His reaction in the case of the pre-88 tanks is illogical, in my view. If you're going to measure risk, measure probability. There have been a total of less than a dozen explosions of pre-88 tanks during fills. How many millions of fills of pre-88 tanks have gone without incident? Tens of millions? Hundreds of millions? I don't know, but I would suspect that the probability of having a pre-88 tank blow up during fill is lower than the probability that the operator's boat is going to have a fatal mishap on any given day. Or that he'll be struck by lightning. Or get whacked by a drunk driver on the way home from the dock. He and you and I know we are at risk of all those things every day, but we do them willingly. For what it's worth, I always stay nearby when my tanks are being filled, because I want to be sure I'm going to get 3,000 pounds, so I am willing to take the same risk I'm asking the operator to take. gc Lee Bell wrote: > >There is that, but you also have to admit that the operator is the one at >risk if one of those tanks proves to be unsafe. I think there's enough >distrust available for both of you. > > >Lee > > -- George Cathcart Director, University Communications University of Maryland 301.405.4621 |
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#12
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| "George" <gcathcar@nospamaccmail.umd.edu> wrote in message news:3F310162.6090106@nospamaccmail.umd.edu... > Of course, that's true, but the operator takes risks in everything he > does. His reaction in the case of the pre-88 tanks is illogical, in my > view. If you're going to measure risk, measure probability. There have > been a total of less than a dozen explosions of pre-88 tanks during > fills. How many millions of fills of pre-88 tanks have gone without > incident? Tens of millions? Hundreds of millions? I don't know, but I > would suspect that the probability of having a pre-88 tank blow up > during fill is lower than the probability that the operator's boat is > going to have a fatal mishap on any given day. Or that he'll be struck > by lightning. Or get whacked by a drunk driver on the way home from the > dock. He and you and I know we are at risk of all those things every > day, but we do them willingly. > > For what it's worth, I always stay nearby when my tanks are being > filled, because I want to be sure I'm going to get 3,000 pounds, so I am > willing to take the same risk I'm asking the operator to take. Those tanks are all getting older and older... and most of them are gone. Why take an unnecessary risk? I wouldn't. Driving to the dock for the boat is sort of necessary, and you can do a lot to prevent yourself from getting hit by lightning. These risks are all mostly controlled and there are steps you can (and most people do) to prevent them. This bears no relation to, say, a plane crashing into your house, which you have no control over whatsoever. Jon |
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#13
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| > These risks are all mostly controlled and there are steps you can (and most > people do) to prevent them. This bears no relation to, say, a plane > crashing into your house, which you have no control over whatsoever. No control whatsoever? Why just last weekend I was up painting over that giant bullseye the previous owners had on the roof.... |
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