Re: Cayman Aggressor Experiences?

Randy aka "scubaran" <bogus@bogus.com> wrote:
>
> I didn't get a choice on the timing [October] as I'm going with
> the local dive club.


IMO, don't worry too much about it...IMO, you'll probably be okay in
October, at least due to this 'winter weather' risk bit, as that's more
of a "real" winter (December) risk, not a fall (Sept/Oct) risk.

The fall does carry a 'bad weather' risk in the form of passing tropical
waves (statistical hurricane peak is September), but these are often
fairly short-lived and localized, making it hit-or-miss, plus its
actually present all summer long: technically, they occur anytime
between June and November. For example, yesterday's tropical summary
was reporting four active tropical waves (at 30W, south of 15N, at 67W
below 16N, at 77W below 18N and at 90W below 17N).

Some people are of the opinion that this tropical weather risk is worth
taking in Sept/Oct/Nov because the fall's general conditions are that
the summer's heat has passed, so the air has cooled off, but the water's
still nice and warm. A few know that there's also a chance to "grab the
brass ring" of the seasonal trade winds oscillation that results in flat
(to glassy) conditions for a few days in the Spring & Fall. It is
impossible to predict far in advance just which days this will happen on
each year and plan a trip around it, but for catching the Fall shift,
your chances are generally best in October.



-hh

" H. Huntzinger" <{NOSPAM-rm_to_reply}rec-scuba@huntzinger.com> wrote in
message
news:{NOSPAM-rm_to_reply}rec-scuba-685B1F.07572525062004@news-east.dca.giganews.com...
> Randy aka "scubaran" <bogus@bogus.com> wrote:
> >
> > I didn't get a choice on the timing [October] as I'm going with
> > the local dive club.
>
>
> IMO, don't worry too much about it...IMO, you'll probably be okay in
> October, at least due to this 'winter weather' risk bit, as that's more
> of a "real" winter (December) risk, not a fall (Sept/Oct) risk.
>
> The fall does carry a 'bad weather' risk in the form of passing tropical
> waves (statistical hurricane peak is September), but these are often
> fairly short-lived and localized, making it hit-or-miss, plus its
> actually present all summer long: technically, they occur anytime
> between June and November. For example, yesterday's tropical summary
> was reporting four active tropical waves (at 30W, south of 15N, at 67W
> below 16N, at 77W below 18N and at 90W below 17N).
>
> Some people are of the opinion that this tropical weather risk is worth
> taking in Sept/Oct/Nov because the fall's general conditions are that
> the summer's heat has passed, so the air has cooled off, but the water's
> still nice and warm. A few know that there's also a chance to "grab the
> brass ring" of the seasonal trade winds oscillation that results in flat
> (to glassy) conditions for a few days in the Spring & Fall. It is
> impossible to predict far in advance just which days this will happen on
> each year and plan a trip around it, but for catching the Fall shift,
> your chances are generally best in October.
>
>
>
> -hh

Hi,

Thanks for the info. I know I've been on cruises in October and only once
did we
have to bypass an island due to hurricanes and that was a very southern
island in
the Caribbean (I'm also well aware of December/January ocean conditions from
a
Christmas cruise from Puerto Rico to Aruba where we had consistent 10-15 ft.
waves the whole crossing).

Randy